How do you know when a specific bet is smart? The answer is simple: when that bet has some NBA player prop picks.
Best +EV Bets Today: NBA Predictions for Tuesday, March 26
Best +EV Bets Today: NBA Predictions for Tuesday, March 26
Let’s look at one of the model’s top picks for today, Tuesday, March 26. The Miami Heat moved to acquire Terry Rozier at the trade deadline, and for this matchup with the Golden State Warriors, he has a points prop of 18.5 with the under trading at -115 (53.5%) on Hard Rock and bet365. If you’re curious about where other books, including Pinnacle, are taking action on this prop, take a look at the screenshot from our model:
Rozier’s under on this market is trading all the way down at -147 (59.5) at Pinnacle, which means we’re scoring 6% of free implied probability by betting this one at Hard Rock or Caesars is also a +EV bet if you can’t access the other two books.
Bets like this one, over a large enough sample size, can dramatically transform your bankroll (ROI of 8.6% on all NBA player prop bets wagered 12 hours before tip — and 5% on all props wagered two hours before tip.
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Best Positive Expected Value (+EV) Bet Today: Terry Rozier Under 18.5 Points -115 at bet365
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