Monday Night Football features the Green Bay Packers as massive favorites (-14) against the New Orleans Saints. With such a lopsided spread, the projected game script sets up intriguing opportunities in the prop markets. Expect the Packers to lean heavily on the run game, while the Saints may be forced to air it out in an attempt to keeps things competitive. Let’s look to target some props with my two favorite NFL Underdog Fantasy pick’em predictions for the game!
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Underdog Fantasy NFL Pick’em Predictions Today
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Josh Jacobs H/L Than 0.5 Rushing+Receiving Touchdowns
Josh Jacobs has been on a tear over his last seven games, averaging 87 rushing yards per game and scoring 11 total touchdowns.
It’s no surprise that Jacobs’ prop numbers are drawing attention for this matchup, as the Saints’ run defense has struggled mightily. PFF ranks them 31st against the run, while they allow the second-most yards per rush attempt (4.9) and surrender an average of one rushing touchdown per game.
Stokastic’s industry-leading NFL DFS projections have Jacobs slated for 23 carries, 105 rushing yards, and 0.86 touchdowns. With the Packers favored by two touchdowns, game script should work in Jacobs’ favor, especially near the goal line.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Josh Jacobs Higher Than 0.5 Rushing+Receiving Touchdowns
Juwan Johnson M/L 2.5 Receptions
For our second prop bet, let’s focus on the Saints’ starting tight end, Juwan Johnson.
Johnson faces a Packers defense that has struggled against tight ends, allowing an average of six receptions and just under 60 receiving yards per game. This season, Johnson has averaged 2.6 receptions on 3.4 targets for 27 receiving yards per game.
However, when Spencer Rattler has started at quarterback, Johnson has been more productive, recording exactly three catches in all three games. Last week, Rattler played but didn’t start, and Johnson logged just two receptions as a result.
Stokastic’s NFL DFS projections have Johnson pegged for 3.3 receptions and 34 receiving yards tonight. Let’s count on the big man to hit three catches again against a defense vulnerable to tight ends, especially with a quarterback he’s connected with consistently in the past.
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Prediction: Juwan Johnson Higher Than 2.5 Receptions
