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Ravens-49ers Same-Game Parlay Picks | Week 16 Christmas Day (December 25)

December 25, 2023 | 11:00 AM by Eytan Shander

There is nothing better than ending four days of football and a Christmas Day triple-header with the game of the year. Two of the best teams in the league will represent their respective conferences; the San Francisco 49ers are looking to stay atop the NFC, as are the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC. The line moved to 6 but hasn’t budged since, as the Ravens are in a familiar yet comfortable spot as a road dog out of conference. There is plenty to play for as Week 16 concludes on Christmas Night. Here is the best Ravens-49ers same-game parlay pick.

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Ravens-49ers NFL Same-Game Parlay Picks | Christmas Day

Lamar Jackson O/U 59.5 Rushing Yards (NFL Player Prop)

Jackson does just fine in this role as a road dog of 6 or fewer points playing out of conference. In fact, he’s 18-1 straight up against the NFC and 12-2-1 against the spread when not favored. He thrives as a dog, especially in games that shouldn’t matter as much versus games against AFC opponents. He’s the lynchpin here, the reason the Ravens have every chance of covering this 6-point line. The Ravens are 5-0-1 against the spread last six Monday Night Football games, and nobody gives them a better chance at covering than Jackson on the ground.

The 49ers have a fierce rush that should give Jackson some lanes to run. Be it escape routes or planned attacks, the Ravens will ensure Jackson carries the football upwards to 15 times. He will be the leading rusher, even out of necessity, stretching drives against a solid secondary. That gives the Ravens an extra weapon than just traditional runs to help open the ing game.

This game has Ravens cover written on it from start to end, and Jackson’s legs will be the key reason.

Christian McCaffrey 125+ Rushing + Receiving Yards (NFL Alt Player Prop)

Just jack it up. This is the highest alt line available on DraftKings for a same-game parlay, and it still isn’t high enough. No matter what result comes down, the variable of McCaffrey being involved will be constant. Brock Purdy has found Deebo Samuel and others plenty to establish a deadly game, but even that is impacted by their star running back. McCaffrey is the best rusher in the game and arguably the best receiver too. He will be heavily involved on multiple levels, especially if the 49ers are playing from behind.

Baltimore is struggling to slow down running backs both on the ground and in the screen game. The 49ers love getting McCaffrey the ball as fast as possible, including plenty of horizontal throws. Quick throws are the same as runs here, and the better play is to capture both rushing and receiving yards. Kyle Shanahan is going to need McCaffrey on the ground to establish and secure the lead — or throw, throw, throw if behind.


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San Francisco 49ers Over 27.5 (NFL Team Total)

There are two ways to go with this final prop, but the safer way relies on one team to get it done. By going over the game total, there’s an expectation that both teams will trade blows, getting close to a track meet. Both teams certainly have big play capability, even if it’s catch-and-run plays by the 49ers or a broken run by Jackson. The easier pathway is taking the 49ers to score 28 points, something they’ve done all but one time this year at home.

Baltimore is OK in keeping up with the 49ers, but it’s going to come in the form of offense. Baltimore does great against the — eighth overall in opposing ing yards per game — but the 49ers aren’t going to rely just on chunk plays. In fact, expect quite the opposite with more quick throws to Samuel, McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle. Those guys should do the hard work and ensure the 49ers keep putting up points at home.

Final NFL Ravens-49ers Same-Game Parlay Picks Today

Leg 1: Lamar Jackson Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (NFL Player Prop
Leg 2: Christian McCaffrey 125+ Rushing + Receiving Yards (NFL Player Prop)
Leg 3: San Francisco 49ers Over 27.5 Team Total (NFL Team Prop)
= +480 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Eytan Shander

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Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

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