Skip to content
Categories NFL

First Touchdown Picks for Week 16 Christmas Football

Updated December 25, 2023 | 8:46 am CDT by Eytan Shander

Three games on Christmas Day, capped off with the battle of the year in San Francisco. Plenty of drama on hand with anticipation of who scores first in each game, be it the Eagles hosting the Giants, Ravens in San Fran, or the opener in Kansas City with the Chiefs hosting the Raiders. There’s a big board of players to choose, so here are the best value plays for Christmas first touchdown picks!

If you’re hungry for more action, check out the rest of our NFL betting promos.

React App

Raiders-Chiefs Christmas First Touchdown Picks

Kansas City Chiefs Touchdown Scorer

The Chiefs offense is the story this year but not for the typical storyline of domination. There have been major concerns with a unit averaging just 20 points per game under Patrick Mahomes. They take on a cornered Raiders team with nothing left to play for except spoiling Christmas for the Chiefs. A division game but Vegas still may be without both Josh Jacobs and Maxx Crosby. Either way, the Raiders would be hard pressed to score first going against the real hero of Kansas City’s season — the defense.

The best play is focusing on Kansas City and their best option outside of Mahomes. While Travis Kelce is less than 100 yards away from tight end history, the team is best fit feeding the rock to Isiah Pacheco. He slides in just under 5-1 to score first on BetRivers and will be the primary focus of the offense — at least early in the game. It’s not a typical Sunday afternoon game but rather a holiday day game, so expect this game to play to the under with Kansas City finishing right around their average of 20 points. Pacheco will get the first of only a few scores.

Raiders-Chiefs First Touchdown Picks: Isiah Pacheco +480 at BetRivers for 0.25 Units

Giants-Eagles Christmas First Touchdown Picks

Philadelphia Eagles Touchdown Scorer

The only way the New York Giants score first is if Tommy DeVito single handedly carries the load, because it’s not going to be Saquon Barkley. Not only has Barkley been kept out of the end zone in each of his last three games against the Eagles, but also held below 41 yards each game. The Eagles run defense has softened up but they are still good enough to limit Barkley once again, forcing the Giants to run their quarterback out of desperation.

Philadelphia loves to run their quarterback, especially after the bye as Jalen Hurts looks like his knee is healthy. He’s locked in each game with the tush push basically guaranteeing multiple goal line carries. While there are better numbers out there — primarily A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith — the most realistic option to score on multiple levels remains Hurts. He has a rushing touchdown in five of his last six games, including three with two rushing scores. Hurts is your best bet here, even at +380 on BetRivers.

Giants-Eagles First Touchdown Picks: Jalen Hurts +380 at BetRivers for 0.25 Units

Ravens-49ers Christmas First Touchdown Picks

San Francisco 49ers Touchdown Scorer

The 49ers get another chance to keep distance from the rest of the conference with a win over the AFC’s best in the Ravens. There are so many options to choose from within the 49ers offense making it a little overwhelming. We hit on George Kittle earlier in the year in an incredible buy-low spot and there might be a similar opportunity tonight with a teammate. It’s been two straight games without a score for Brandon Aiyuk after four in a row with a touchdown. That changes tonight against the Ravens defense that is going to look overwhelmed simply with so many weapons to cover.

By going scoreless the past two games, Aiyuk’s number is a tad inflated at +850 on BetMGM, and worth the play here. Anytime you take a 49ers player to score first there are three to four other reasons why you may go elsewhere. It’s the nature of the beast with four players at the top of their positions. But that’s the thing with Aiyuk; as streaky as he can be, when he’s on it’s as good as any receiver in the NFL — at least complimentary receiver. Expect San Francisco to work Deebo Samuel in short and quick routes, opening some deeper space for Aiyuk. Jump on him to score first.

San Francisco 49ers First Touchdown Picks: Brandon Aiyuk +850 at BetMGM for 0.25 Units

OddsShopper’s NFL Tools & Tips

New to sports betting? positive expected value (+EV), and you can unlock more +EV plays by g up for OddsShopper !

This right here is the OddsShopper difference.

 

Categories NFL
Giants-Eagles Same-Game Parlay Picks | Week 16 Christmas Day (December 25)
Best NBA Player Prop Bets Today for Christmas (Dec. 25)
Eytan Shander

Author

Eytan Shander

Long time radio host and TV analyst currently working in Philadelphia

Next Story

EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!

Trending & Related

DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the Super Bowl

Super Bowl Best Bets: Lindy’s NFL Leans, Likes & Locks

Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Best Bets for Super Bowl LIX

Betting 101

What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting

Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting

Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning

Sports Betting Software Showdown: Which Tool Is Right for You?

Sports Betting Resources

  • Positive EV NFL Bets
  • Expert NFL Picks
  • Live NBA Odds
  • Positive EV NBA Bets
  • Expert NBA Picks
  • Live NFL Odds
  • NFL Parlay Calculator
  • Positive EV MLB Bets
  • Expert MLB Picks
  • Positive EV College Football Bets
  • Expert College Football Picks

Featured Articles

EVEN MORE Stories of Bankroll Building with Portfolio EV — Plus 50% Off Your Next Month!
June 2, 2025 3:10 pm | Sam Smith
How Bettors Used Portfolio EV to Beat the Books in May
June 1, 2025 12:56 pm | Sam Smith
Why the Sportsbooks Hate You When You Actually Start Winning
May 20, 2025 2:17 pm | Dave Loughran
What is Dinger Tuesday? How to Beat FanDuel’s Promotion
May 20, 2025 2:10 pm | Isaiah Sirois
How Portfolio EV Built My NBA Bankroll from $100 to $1,200
May 16, 2025 7:11 am | Greg Ehrenberg
You Don’t Need to Be a Genius to Beat the Books — Just the Right Tools
April 26, 2025 8:15 am | Dave Loughran

Related Articles

DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the Super Bowl
February 9, 2025 10:26 am | Danny Burke
Super Bowl Best Bets: Lindy’s NFL Leans, Likes & Locks
February 9, 2025 7:55 am | Eric Lindquist
How to Bet on the Super Bowl Like a Pro
February 9, 2025 7:53 am | Sam Smith
Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Best Bets for Super Bowl LIX
February 9, 2025 7:41 am | Danny Burke
DraftKings Pick6 Predictions for the NFL Conference Championship
January 26, 2025 1:16 pm | Danny Burke
FREE Conference Championship Sunday NFL Pick Today: Ben’s Sharp Bet of the Day (January 26)
January 26, 2025 9:59 am | Ben Rasa

Best Sleeper Promo Code Today
June 7, 2025 6:42 am
Best Underdog Promo Code Today
June 7, 2025 6:42 am
Best ParlayPlay Promo Code Today
June 7, 2025 6:42 am
How Do I Make Money Sports Betting? Portfolio EV, Of Course
June 6, 2025 11:00 am
MLB Betting Strategy: 5 Tips for Winning on MLB Betting Sites
June 5, 2025 1:56 pm
What is Portfolio EV? Guide to +EV Sports Betting
June 5, 2025 11:54 am
MLB Home Run Betting Strategy: How to Profit on Home Run Bets
June 5, 2025 11:52 am
Get a 7-DAY FREE TRIAL Of Portfolio EV Today!
June 5, 2025 11:50 am
Positive Expected Value Explained: How to Find Positive EV Edges in Sports Betting
June 5, 2025 11:45 am
Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions Today: Chet Holmgren (June 5)
June 5, 2025 9:01 am

How Can I Find the Best Sports Betting and DFS App Bonuses?

If you're a new sports bettor, it's hard to know where to start. In fact, it's simpler than it seems, because there are use OddsShopper's Free Bet Converter to maximize your beginning bankroll

Get a bonus code for BetMGM

Get a promo code Caesars Sportsbook

Best DraftKings Promo Code

Get a promo code for DraftKings

Use a promo code for FanDuel

Claim a promo code for PrizePicks

Get a promo code for UnderDog

the ranks of the OddsShopper Hall of Fame

  • Free Expert Picks

    • Free NBA Picks
    • Free MLB Picks
    • Free NFL Picks
    • Free NHL Picks
    • Free NCAAB Picks
    • Free NCAAF Picks
    • Free Golf Picks
    • Free UFC Picks
    • Free EPL Picks
    • Free Tennis Picks
    • Free WNBA Picks
  • Positive EV Bets

    • Positive EV NBA Bets
    • Positive EV MLB Bets
    • Positive EV NFL Bets
    • Positive EV NHL Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAB Bets
    • Positive EV NCAAF Bets
    • Positive EV Golf Bets
    • Positive EV UFC Bets
    • Positive EV EPL Bets
    • Positive EV Tennis Bets
    • Positive EV WNBA Bets
  • Betting Tools

    • Arbitrage Opportunities
    • Parlay Builder
    • PrizePicks Entry Builder
    • Underdog Entry Builder
    • Sleeper Entry Builder
    • Free Bet Converter
  • Articles

    • All Articles
    • NBA Articles
    • NFL Articles
    • NCAAF Articles
    • MLB Articles
    • PGA Articles
    • NHL Articles
    • NASCAR Articles
    • MMA Articles
  • Betting Calculators

    • Expected Value Calculator
    • Hold Calculator
    • Parlay Calculator
    • Odds Converter
  • Live Odds

    • Live NBA Odds
    • Live MLB Odds
    • Live NFL Odds
    • Live NHL Odds
    • Live NCAAB Odds
    • Live NCAAF Odds
    • Live Golf Odds
    • Live UFC Odds
    • Live EPL Odds
    • Live Tennis Odds
  • Sportsbook Promo Codes

    • BetMGM Bonus Codes
    • Bet365 Bonus Codes
    • FanDuel Promo Codes
    • DraftKings Promo Codes
    • Caesars Promo Codes
    • BetRivers Promo Codes
    • Sleeper Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Underdog Fantasy Promo Codes
    • Betr Picks Promo Codes

    • Us
    • of Use
    • Stokastic
OddsShopper Logo
© 2024 Stokastic.All Rights reserved.
This site contains commercial content, We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. OddsShopper makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.