Heading into the fifth week of the NFL season, we have a ton of players on the injury report. From players like Tee Higgins and Amon-Ra St. Brown to other like Cooper Kupp and Jonathan Taylor returning, there are a lot of moving parts this weekend. This is where we rely on the data OddsShopper to guide/odds/nfl/gamelines/pointspread/6784b09a-8b2f-4754-bf36-3603140f4823 us through all the news and best bets. Nonetheless, onto our best NFL Week 5 model bets.
Best NFL Week 5 Model Bets
Titans-Colts Model Pick
Tyjae Spears O/U 2.5 Receptions
Derrick Henry broke out last week after struggling to get going in the first few games of the season. He finished with 22 carries for 122 yards. It was his first game with more than 80 rushing yards this season. This could lead to the Titans leaning more on Henry going forward which would limit the playing time of Spears.
In week 3, Henry only had 11 carries which likely won’t happen again. The Titans are also favored in this weekend’s game against the Colts, setting up for a run-first game plan.
One of our best NFL Week 5 model bets– Tyjae Spears Under 2.5 receptions
Bengals-Cardinals Model Pick
Joe Burrow O/U 5.5 Rushing Yards
This is a simple pick. Joe Burrow isn’t healthy and he is playing with limited mobility. For the season, he has eight rushing attempts for a grand total of three yards. Most of those attempts are coming from kneel downs at the end of games or at the end of the half. It’s a bit surprising to see that he even has a rushing prop because of the health of his calf.
With the Bengals favored to win this game, we could see kneel downs at the end of this game for negative rushing yards.
Another best NFL Week 5 model bets– Bengals under 5.5 rushing yards
