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NFL Draft Odds: Some Expected, Some Slightly Unexpected Names in No. 1 Pick Odds

February 20, 2023 | 10:22 AM by Sam Smith

New NFL draft odds have dropped, and much remains unchanged about the very top of the board. Familiar names still occupy the top 2 spots. That said, there have been a couple new developments at the top of the NFL draft odds board, and it is making for some interesting value spots.

2023 NFL Draft Odds: Young, Levis Making Moves for No. 1 Pick

Per BetMGM’s John Ewing, Alabama quarterback Bryce Young remains the favorite to land the No. 1 pick, with Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud slightly behind:

NFL Draft 1st Pick betting at @BetMGM

Favorites
• Bryce Young +120
• CJ Stroud +275
• Jalen Carter +600

Highest Ticket%
• Will Levis (+750) 22.2%
• Young 15.9%
• Carter 14.5%

Highest Handle%
• Levis 34.6%
• Young 22.9%
• Anthony Richardson (+4000) 13.4%

— John Ewing ? (@johnewing) February 20, 2023

Check out the full top 5 on BetMGM below:

Kentucky quarterback Will Levis continues to make a solid charge as a sleeper top pick, as he has both the most bets coming his way for No. 1 and the highest percentage of money wagered on him getting the top spot. His numbers in two seasons as Kentucky’s starter were solid but unspectacular, and the Wildcats disappointed at 7-6 in 2022. However, Levis has exceptional raw tools, including a 6-foot-3, 220-plus frame and a strong arm, and he is also expected to test well. He has most recently been mocked to the Raiders at No. 7, but there is a real chance he goes much higher and is far from out of the discussion to go No. 1.

Another interesting note is Jalen Carter matching Will Anderson at +600. As an elite -rushing prospect, Anderson has more often been projected as the first non-quarterback off the board. However, Carter has had his name attached to the Chicago Bears as of late, and they currently hold the No. 1 pick. The rumblings suggest a team like the Indianapolis Colts will trade up with Chicago to take Young or another quarterback. However, if the Bears stay at No. 1, Carter seems to be the most likely candidate to head to the Windy City.

One final name to keep an eye on is Anthony Richardson, who may be the biggest wild card in the entire draft. Richardson is one of the rawest talents at the quarterback position in recent memory, possessing elite of elite arm strength and great athleticism. However, he only played one full year as a starter at Florida and completed less than 54% of his es. That has not stopped him from flying up draft boards, and he went ninth to Carolina in Todd McShay’s latest mock draft. He may not be fully in the discussion for No. 1 at +4000, but he does have the sixth-best odds at the moment, so he cannot be fully ignored as an outside flier at the top 5.

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Sam Smith

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Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015 while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With OddsShopper, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with OddsShopper's data to bring you the best betting information possible.

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