The NBA returns to action with a two-game slate on Tuesday night. The Golden State Warriors will host the Phoenix Suns from the Chase Center in San Francisco. Although the Suns have a number of concerning injuries, star forward Kevin Durant is available, so he’ll take on Stephen Curry and several of his old teammates — just not Draymond Green, who is out with a knee injury. Let’s dive into the Stephen Curry player prop odds for tonight as we look to identify the best bet for tonight’s Suns-Warriors game. If you’re hungry for more action, check out our NBA betting promos!
Stephen Curry Player Prop: Best Suns-Warriors Bet Tonight
Curry O/U 30.5 Points
OddsShopper’s model has a clear top pick for bettors looking to get some exposure to Stephen Curry tonight. With his points total set all the way up at 30.5, it wants action on the under. Let’s dig into why that’s a good bet as we break down how the model works.
According to the model, this play has an xWIN, or expected win rate, of 55% (-120), which is better than the under’s implied odds of 52.4% (-110) a price you’ll find exclusively at BetMGM. Curry averaged only 29.4 points per game in the 2022-23 season and just 25.5 per game a year before that.
But what do the rest of the numbers in the model mean? Using the Kelly criterion, the model calculates how much a bettor worth your bankroll should wager on a given play, which is rendered in the bet size row.
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