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PrizePicks Picks & Predictions Today: Jaylen Brown and Herb Jones

Updated April 29, 2024 | 8:57 am CDT by Josh Engleman

Tonight’s NBA games focus on Jaylen Brown of the Boston Celtics and Herb Jones of the New Orleans Pelicans, both pivotal in their respective matchups, yet expected to underperform in of points, rebounds, and assists (PRA). Here’s a closer look at why choosing less on both players might be the wise choice based on their roles and team dynamics.

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PrizePicks NBA Picks & Predictions Today

Jaylen Brown | NBA PrizePicks Pick Today

The Celtics face the Heat in Miami at 7:30 PM. Despite being strong favorites, the spread of roles within the team suggests varied contributions.

Minutes and Rotation: Brown is set to play around 36 minutes, but even with potential for more, the game’s expected dynamics might not necessitate a full exertion, especially with Boston leading comfortably in the series.

Diverse Scoring Options: Boston’s lineup, featuring Tatum, Porzingis, White, and Holiday, provides multiple pathways to scoring, possibly diluting Brown’s need to dominate statistically.

Projected PRA: With a projection just below the number at 31.5 and considering Boston’s ability to distribute scoring, the expectation is that Brown might not need to push as hard, especially if Boston maintains control throughout the game.

Given these factors, choosing less on Brown’s PRA is prudent, reflecting the likelihood of a balanced effort from the Celtics rather than a standout performance from Brown alone.

PrizePicks Pick Today: Jaylen Brown LESS Than 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Herb Jones | NBA PrizePicks Pick Today

The Pelicans, trailing 2-1 in the series, host OKC at 8:30 PM. Jones is crucial defensively but his offensive contributions are secondary.

Defensive Role: Jones is primarily tasked with containing OKC’s key players, which underscores his focus on defense rather than accumulating offensive stats.

Limited Offensive Impact: With Ingram and McCollum handling most of the offensive responsibilities, Jones’s opportunities to contribute significantly to the scoring or playmaking are limited.

Projected PRA: An estimate of 17.8 against a number of 19.5 highlights expectations for a modest output, with defensive plays like steals or blocks not counting towards his PRA.

Choosing less on Jones’s PRA aligns with his established role as a defensive stalwart rather than an offensive threat, reinforcing the notion that his contributions might not reach the betting line.

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 PrizePicks Pick Today: Herb Jones Less Than 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

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