PrizePicks Picks & Predictions: Pelicans Coming After SGA? (March 26)

For tonight’s NBA slate, we’re looking at two PrizePicks plays that defy the usual cheering for star performances, opting instead for a strategic approach that might not be as exciting but has us poised for potential wins. Let’s break down today’s PrizePicks expert picks and predictions for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jonas Valanciunas.

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PrizePicks Picks & Predictions

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PrizePicks Prediction

First, we’re heading to New Orleans where the Oklahoma City Thunder face a tough defensive squad in the Pelicans. It’s hard not to ire Gilgeous-Alexander’s talent and usual contributions, but tonight’s game presents a unique challenge. With the Pelicans potentially doubling down on defense in Brandon Ingram‘s absence, Gilgeous-Alexander is likely to encounter significant resistance. The Pelicans have the ability to throw a lot of perimeter defense his way, potentially diverting the game’s flow towards other Thunder players like Jalen Williams or Chet Holmgren, who might find more favorable matchups.

I have Gilgeous-Alexander projected at 39 for combined points, rebounds and assists, sitting 2.5 below the projection of 41.5. It’s a close call, but the defensive setup of the Pelicans and the diverse threats on the Thunder suggest a slightly quieter night for Gilgeous-Alexander.

PrizePicks Expert Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Less Than 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Jonas Valanciunas PrizePicks Expert Prediction

Switching gears to Valanciunas against the same Thunder team, this matchup on paper might seem advantageous given his size against Holmgren. However, the reality of Valanciunas’ playing time paints a different picture. Lately, it seems the Pelicans are capping him at around 20 minutes per game, a trend I don’t see breaking tonight. Without significant rate changes in scoring, rebounding or assists with Ingram off the court, Valanciunas’ impact might not hit the expected highs.

Considering the Thunder’s top-5 defense, any theoretical advantage for Valanciunas diminishes with his expected court time. Projected at 18.7 for his combined stats, we’re comfortably less than the 21.5 projection.

PrizePicks Expert Pick: Jonas Valanciunas LESS Than 21.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

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