The New York Knicks will visit the Milwaukee Bucks in a big Eastern Conference showdown. Both of these teams have gotten off to slower starts than they likely hoped for, as neither owns a winning record yet. Let’s dive into the Julius Randle player prop odds for tonight as we look to identify the best bet for this evening’s Knicks-Bucks game. If you’re hungry for more action, check out our guide to NBA player prop betting as well.
Julius Randle Player Prop: Best Knicks-Bucks Bet Today
Julius Randle attempted a whopping 22 3-pointers against the Milwaukee Bucks last season. He made only two of them, good for an abysmal 9.1% conversion rate. While a tough Milwaukee defense may for some of Randle’s struggles, the power forward got unlucky relative to his season and career rates. Randle hit 34.3% of his 3-pointers last year and has converted 33.4% through his career. Although the shots didn’t fall for him against Milwaukee, he would’ve averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game if he had just converted at his career average.
The Bucks have gotten much worse at stopping perimeter shooters this season. The Damian Lillard trade has hurt Milwaukee’s defense substantially — the Bucks are allowing opposing shooters to make 41% of their overall 3-pointers and 42.9% of those taken from above the break. The volume has been there, too — the Bucks are coughing up the third-most 3-pointers per game (14.8) and the second-most from above the break (12).
I’m bullish on Randle from beyond the arc tonight. While he hasn’t gotten off to the most efficient start from long range this year, as he is converting just 25.8% of his long-range looks, he is still making 1.6 and taking 6.2 per game. The volume should tick up as he regresses closer to his career averages. It’s also worth noting that the Bucks have coughed up the third-most 3-pointers per game to power forwards (3). You’ll find Randle priced at -180 to hit a pair of triples at DraftKings, so I recommend wagering enough to secure a half-unit return there. If you’re new to DraftKings, check out our DraftKings promo code or click here for $200 in bonus bets — and a daily no-sweat same-game parlay.
Knicks-Bucks Player Prop Pick: Julius Randle Over 1.5 3-Pointers -180 at DraftKings
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