Today is Flex Friday, and we have a protected flex play of up to $20. Head over to your promotions tab and opt in to the promo to activate it. The best way to take advantage is to play a five- or six-man flex, and we have plenty of games with which to build our card. The Kings and 76ers will tip off our 10-game slate in Philadelphia at 7:30 p.m. ET, but we won’t see Joel Embiid or Kevin Huerter in that one. The Trail Blazers will travel to Minnesota to take on the first-place Timberwolves as 15.5-point underdogs coming off a 62-point loss last night — yes, 62. Lastly, the night will close in Denver with Pelicans-Nuggets at 10 p.m. ET.
Selecting the right projections may be challenging, but with the assistance of PrizePicks guide can help you make the sharpest plays possible.
PrizePicks NBA Player Predictions: Myles Turner & More
Myles Turner M/L 7.5 Rebounds
Myles Turner has been the best player for the Pacers with Tyrese Haliburton out, sporting a 21.7% usage rate and 16.7% rebound rate. In the four games Haliburton has missed, Turner averaged 8.3 rebounds. Overall, in the last 10 games, Turner is averaging seven rebounds on 12.1 chances, and tonight he gets a great matchup against Atlanta.
The Hawks rank 22nd in rebounds allowed to centers, while they gave up 14 and nine to opposing starting centers in their last two games. Utilizing OddsShopper’s Positive EV tool, we see that most books are juiced to the more of 7.5, with odds ranging from -115 to -130. The Hawks rank 21st in field goal percentage and are shooting just 33% from 3 over their last 10 games.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Myles Turner More Than 7.5 Rebounds
Paolo Banchero M/L 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Paolo Banchero is averaging 34.8 points + rebounds + assists (PRA) on the season but 44.4 over his last five games since Franz Wagner went down. However, he gets a tough matchup tonight against Miami, who ranks 27th in pace.
In the previous matchup with Miami, Banchero managed just 26 PRA in 34.4 minutes. Orlando last played on Jan. 9, giving Banchero two days of rest. His splits tell us that, on two days’ rest, he’s played his worst basketball, averaging 26.1 PRA while shooting just 37.7% from the field. OddsShopper also tells us this is good value, with the books juiced to the less and some having a projection of 40.5.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Paolo Banchero Less Than 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
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Collin Sexton M/L 18.5 Points
Utah has been playing great, winning eight of its last 10 games and sporting a 6.9 net rating, sixth best in this stretch. Tonight the Jazz are 3-point home favorites against the Raptors, who are just 2-3 since their big trade. Collin Sexton enjoyed a nice December, averaging 21.1 points in 28.4 minutes per game. However, since Jordan Clarkson and Lauri Markkanen returned to the lineup, his minutes have dipped over the last five games to just 22.7. When he plays alongside Clarkson, his usage rate also drops 3 percentage points.
OddsShopper’s Positive EV Bets tool tells us less than has a 3% EV rating, as most books lean towards the less, while one of the sharper books, Pinnacle, has odds of -151. I’m leaning with the numbers here while Sexton’s minutes are trending down.
Best PrizePicks NBA Player Prediction: Collin Sexton Less Than 18.5 Points
OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tools & Tips
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