What’s up, gang? Tails By OddsShopper for weekly and monthly NASCAR packages, full race-day coverage and live in-race betting shows on YouTube. We’re live for every race, including today — come sweat your action with us! Let’s dive into some NASCAR Bristol picks.
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NASCAR Betting Picks for the Food City 500 at Bristol
This track is a wild card today.
- 50-minute practice session showed no rubber getting laid down
- Tires corded badly, similar to the spring race in 2023
- Expect either follow-the-leader racing or total chaos with blown tires and frequent pit strategy shifts (every 35 to 40 laps)
With all that uncertainty, we’re keeping the pre-race card light and planning to attack the live markets as the race unfolds.
Top 5 Market
Ryan Blaney +180 (Bet365): Fastest guy in the Cup Series over the past six weeks. Legit value.
Alex Bowman +170 (ESPN BET): On the pole. Good tire wear driver. If track position matters (and it should), he’s in a great spot.
Top 10 Market
Chase Briscoe +150: Comfortable on dirt, solid past runs at Bristol, now in Marty’s equipment. Qualified 14th despite a wild practice. Lots of upside.
Driver Matchups
Ryan Blaney over William Byron (Even Money at Bet365)
The only matchup I’m pulling the trigger on today. Blaney’s speed edge is real.
Outright Market
I am not betting much pre-race, but if I did…
Ryan Blaney: Fastest car in the sport lately. Shouldn’t be this long anywhere.
Christopher Bell: Short-track ace. Best in the 2024 short-track package. Recent finishes: 3rd, 4th, 5th, 10th.
Denny Hamlin: My gut pick to win. Price is short, but he’s live.
Kyle Larson: Dominated the fall race last year (led 460 laps), but this race feels like it’ll mirror the chaotic spring event more than that snoozer.
Longshots
Chase Briscoe 32-1: Live dog. Proven ability to climb the field. Comfortable in today’s conditions.
Brad Keselowski & Chris Buescher (Roush Guys): Both have a strong record in the Next Gen car at Bristol. Volatility could open a path for them.
